Stacking ’em Volume 15 (September 2021)

Another month grinding the fiat job, another salary hitting the bank account, another chance to stack some sats! We go ‘all in’ again and buy whatever we can (In my mind I’m going all in once per month instead DCAing on a monthly basis). In my case it means I put 500€ aside, squander it at Bitcoin, and live the rest of the month with whatever is left. The price I got for my purchase was ~40400 € / BTC which means I got ~0.012 BTC added to the stack that stands at ~3.96 BTC today.

A LOT going on in the BTC world. Last month I thought the dip was over and we would continue with the autumn bull. Well, I still do but we’re not quite lifting off atm. Instead, we got a dip after a dip after a dip. China doing this and that, with a reflection on the short term BTC price.

Hodlers unaffected, traders rekt.

Bitcoin holding is the marshmallow test for adults. The natural (instant gratification) instinct is to eat the marshmallow and trade the BTC. But if you eat it, you have no marshmallow left and if you trade it you have no BTC left. Try to resist the first few urges. You won’t even think about it in no time.

Strike & Twitter joining forces to implement Bitcoin. Seems like a big deal. Bitcoin is the kind of thing that won’t go away and will only grow (not talking about price now). Day after day, year after year. Bitcoin adoption will only grow. Must be hell to be a Bitcoin skeptic and watch things play out. Serves them right, though. Let’s look at some charts:

The orange line is my BTC stack, the green line is the corresponding worth in eurozone fiat, the dashed black line is the total amount of money put in. Time of data is the beginning of every month which is the time I make my purchases. Looking forward to breaking that 4 full coins & 200k eurofiat line, which will come first is the only question.

Here’s a bar chart representing every Bitcoin purchase I’ve ever made. Once per month, 48 in total. Next month marks the 4 year anniversary of my first Bitcoin purchase. Four long years that have changed me as a human, for the better. Very grateful for Bitcoin, grateful for bitcoiners. Someone asked how I’m gonna pay taxes when I eventually sell some coins. I think it’s going to be FIFO (first in first out) and this data will make it easy.

Here’s the performance of my Bitcoin savings strategy vs. a standard (and poor) savings strategy of putting it all into S&P500. Bitcoin has given me a 500% profit for the money put in whereas S&P would’ve given me 50% profit for the money put in during these 4 years. People say you should put 5-10% of your savings into Bitcoin. Start small and all. I get it. Kinda. But the more you know, the more it seems dumb to restrict your exposure. I’d say go 100% all in. If it feels risky, you need to read some books about Bitcoin and try to understand what we are dealing with.

Small exposure means you don’t really understand Bitcoin.

You may not like it, or agree with me, but that’s the way it is.

-Bitster

Twitter: @BitsterStacker

Stacking ’em Volume 14 (August 2021)

Time flies! Sorry to everyone who’s been waiting for the August monthly post only for it to arrive on the 30th. Trying to behave better from here on out. But the important thing is – one *never* forgets to stack. August price for me was ~33600€ / BTC and the usual 500 eurobucks got me another ~0.014 BTC added to the stack that stands at 3.95 BTC at the end of August.

Last month feels like ages ago, because the Twitter sphere was pretty much bearish during that time BTC hovering slightly above 30k dollars. But the bears got slaughtered like they always will and Michale ‘BS’ (Big Short) Burry deleted his Twitter account. Maybe its too early to celebrate the continuation of the bull market since we’re still below the previous top of 60+ something bucks but it all feels pretty unstoppable now. The fiat clown world is crumbling before our eyes and we are just waiting patiently for the inevitable.

Let’s take a look at the charts:

The orange line is my BTC stack, always increasing, lately flattening. The green line is my stack measured in eurozone fiat, latest ‘crash’ clearly visible but bouncing hard and aiming towards new highs. When? Doesn’t matter. Could be next month, could be next year. All I know is the stacking shall continue. The dashed black line is the total amount of money put in, around 25k€ at the moment.

Here’s a bar chart representing every Bitcoin purchase I’ve ever made, once per month, almost 4 years in total. There are only 3 months that I’m on loss and all of them are obviously very recent. When investing in Bitcoin you gotta have a long time horizon and ignore everything that you’ve been doing the past 1 year. Every single one of these buys has been on negative returns at some point in time. Also the ones currently giving me 1000% returns. So don’t try to catch a bottom. Try to be able to keep buying. Mining fiat to buy Bitcoin.

Here’s the total performance of my Bitcoin savings strategy compared to a ‘normal’ savings strategy of putting it all into S&P 500. My Plan B has given me a total of ~400% return on the money so far compared to S&P giving slightly below 50% returns. S&P investing is the smooth & boring way to go if you have enough money already and only wanna keep the purchasing power. Perfectly fine if you have heart problems, peeing problems or if you’re a pussy. Bitcoin on the other hand will deprive your sleep, cause anxiety, make you doubt yourself and in the end make you rich.

Since MicroStrategy came public with their Bitcoin reserve strategy I’ve been comparing their stock and the GBTC price charts as my understanding during that time was that GBTC was the way to go for ‘traditional’ investors who wanted some Bitcoin exposure. MSTR provided an alternative as surely it would start to perform in tandem with Bitcoin. With all the debt they’ve been getting to buy bitcoin you could almost think of the stock as a leveraged Bitcoin instrument. And surely enough it has been performing better than the GBTC during this time.

Thats all for now. Summers up but the autumn bull shall take from here. Happy stacking!

-Bitster

Twitter: @BitsterStacker

Stacking ’em Volume 13 (July 2021)

Another month grinding at the fiat job, another salary hitting the bank account, another set of sats stacked to the pile with the usual style (500€ purchase every month). Julys price was 28400€ / BTC and 500 units of dirty eurozone fiat was transformed into the best money humanity has seen, Bitcoin. I was able to get ~0.017 BTC and the stack stands at roughly 3.93 BTC at the time of writing.

Few months ago I was ‘worried’ I might not be able to get that 4 full coins very soon (if at all) because the price kept rising too fast. But now, if the dip’s gonna continue like this I’m gonna shoot past 4 full coins in a few months. Not that I’m actually hoping for a bear market or continued consolidation, but definitely a win-win situation as it always is with a Bitcoin purchase.

Recently I have found myself kinda surprised that some folks think we reached the local top of the epoch already and are heading for a bear market until the next halving or so. For me it has been more or less obvious that our bullrun will last for the remainder of the year and 2022 we can start to talk about the bear market and how its gonna look like. Of course, I don’t know how its gonna pan out but the bearish sentiment caught me by surprise. I started my Bitcoin journey in October 2017 so I don’t know how it felt like during the summer of 2017 for example. From June to August 2017 there was a 2 month period when Bitcoin was more or less flat and I bet many people thought the top was in. Now or course, we are 5 months in if counted form Feb when we first hit these price levels. In 2013 however, there was a 6 month (April – October) consolidation before the bull market hit full gear at the end of 2013. So lets wait for one more month and see if we can find resemblance from 2013.

Though, it has to be said that this is only the 3rd bull market following a halving and its pretty naive to assume we will follow one (2013) or the other (2017) trajectory from the past. More and more it seems like Bitcoin is gonna do what it always does:

The unexpected.

The orange line is my BTC stack, nicely approaching 4 full coins. The green line is the corresponding fiat (EUR) worth of my stack. When the fiat value dumps, the orange curve takes pace. The orange curve will only flatten if the fiat curve shoots up. A win-win if I ever saw one. The dashed line is the total amount of money invested, roughly 25k€ atm.

The bars represent every Bitcoin purchase I’ve ever made. Starting from October 2017, once per month, 46 in total. Only four purchases are currently at a loss, all done this year. The best buys were done during the bear market, early 2019. On average, I’m up 310% on every purchase. Bitcoin is a long game and this chart aims to paint that picture. You need to grind many years to be able to look back on your Bitcoin buys and feel good about your strategy. Believe me, at the time of doing these 2019 best buys, I had already been stacking for more than a year and was at a loss regarding total money put in / the value of my stack – certainly didn’t feel like a genius. In fact, felt like I should have waited for some kind of bottom before starting to go all in (textbook knee-jerk) but of course that would have been impossible and if I would have tried something like that, I only would have totally missed the best period for me to stack. So:

Don’t wait, the perfect time to stack is always right now.

Here I’m comparing my Bitcoin savings strategy to the standard (and poor) saving strategy of putting it all into S&P500. Atm, Bitcoin has given me a total of 340% return on the money invested while S&P would have given only 44%. The S&P strategy is of course less volatile and has been only going up lately giving less headaches for the investor. Bitcoin is obviously more volatile and I’ve seen 50% of my (paper) net worth ‘melt away’ during the past 4 months. This is the price you pay for superior returns on Bitcoin. No free lunches.

Euro finals tomorrow. Great weather. Summer holidays. Happy stacking and have a great summer, folks!

-B

Twitter: @BitsterStacker